WEDNESDAY, SEP 16

NFL

16 games

Prediction of the day

The strongest call on the board
NFL · Thu, Sep 17
Detroit Lions 37%
Buffalo Bills 63%

Board

16 games this week Scoreboard ›
NFL
PIT 32%
68% NE
NFL
CLE 35%
65% TB
NFL
GB 74%
26% NYJ
NFL
MIN 45%
55% CHI
NFL
SEA 78%
22% ARI
NFL
IND 52%
48% KC
NFL
LV 25%
75% LAC
NFL
CIN 35%
65% HOU
NFL
JAX 46%
54% DEN
NFL
WAS 42%
58% DAL
NFL
NO 31%
69% BAL
NFL
PHI 67%
33% TEN
NFL
MIA 30%
70% SF
NFL
CAR 39%
61% ATL

Season outlook

2026 season · 256 games to play Teams ›
# Team Record Wins Division Playoffs
1 Seattle Seahawks 1-0 11.8 8 to 15 49% 80%
2 Buffalo Bills 1-0 11.5 8 to 15 67% 82%
3 Philadelphia Eagles 1-0 11.0 7 to 15 64% 75%
4 Baltimore Ravens 1-0 11.0 7 to 14 43% 74%
5 San Francisco 49ers 1-0 10.8 7 to 14 32% 68%
6 Detroit Lions 1-0 10.8 7 to 14 35% 68%
7 Minnesota Vikings 1-0 10.7 7 to 14 34% 67%
8 Jacksonville Jaguars 1-0 10.5 7 to 14 49% 71%
9 Pittsburgh Steelers 1-0 10.0 6 to 14 29% 62%
10 Houston Texans 0-1 9.9 6 to 13 39% 64%
11 Kansas City Chiefs 1-0 9.8 6 to 13 39% 61%
12 Denver Broncos 0-1 9.7 6 to 13 38% 61%

Projected wins for the full season, with the range a team lands inside most of the time. Checked against 10 past seasons, this projection finishes within 1.7 wins of a team's real record, and its playoff calls are right 76% of the time.

Team ratings

Model strength · 32 teams
# Team Elo Form Win%
1 Seattle SeahawksSEA 1694.1 1-0 100.0%
2 Buffalo BillsBUF 1633.5 1-0 100.0%
3 Los Angeles RamsLA 1626.9 0-1 0.0%
4 Denver BroncosDEN 1624.9 0-1 0.0%
5 Houston TexansHOU 1614.4 0-1 0.0%
6 Philadelphia EaglesPHI 1596.3 1-0 100.0%
7 New England PatriotsNE 1591.4 0-1 0.0%
8 Detroit LionsDET 1574.9 1-0 100.0%
9 Baltimore RavensBAL 1563.6 1-0 100.0%
10 Minnesota VikingsMIN 1563.6 1-0 100.0%

The model's Elo rating: a running team-strength number that rises with wins and falls with losses, weighted by opponent quality. Week-to-week movement appears after the first full week of games.