NFL · Thu, Sep 17
Detroit Lions 37%
Buffalo Bills 63%
Total points 51.1
WEDNESDAY, SEP 16
Projected wins for the full season, with the range a team lands inside most of the time. Checked against 10 past seasons, this projection finishes within 1.7 wins of a team's real record, and its playoff calls are right 76% of the time.
The model's Elo rating: a running team-strength number that rises with wins and falls with losses, weighted by opponent quality. Week-to-week movement appears after the first full week of games.