FIFA World Cup 26 · Champions crowned

World Cup 2026

Champions: Spain · 48 nations · 104 matches

World Cup 2026 · Champions

Spain

Spain

World champions · beat Argentina 1–0 in the final

R32 3–0 vs AustriaR16 1–0 vs PortugalQF 2–1 vs BelgiumSF 2–0 vs FranceFinal 1–0 vs Argentina

Our model had Spain at 31.56% going into the final — the favorite.

Qualified teams

Every nation in the expanded 48-team field.

Algeria Algeria
Argentina Argentina
Australia Australia
Austria Austria
Belgium Belgium
Bosnia-Herzegovina Bosnia-Herzegovina
Brazil Brazil
Canada Canada
Cape Verde Cape Verde
Colombia Colombia
Congo DR Congo DR
Croatia Croatia
Curaçao Curaçao
Czechia Czechia
Ecuador Ecuador
Egypt Egypt
England England
France France
Germany Germany
Ghana Ghana
Haiti Haiti
Iran Iran
Iraq Iraq
Ivory Coast Ivory Coast
Japan Japan
Jordan Jordan
Mexico Mexico
Morocco Morocco
Netherlands Netherlands
New Zealand New Zealand
Norway Norway
Panama Panama
Paraguay Paraguay
Portugal Portugal
Qatar Qatar
Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia
Scotland Scotland
Senegal Senegal
South Africa South Africa
South Korea South Korea
Spain Spain
Sweden Sweden
Switzerland Switzerland
Tunisia Tunisia
Türkiye Türkiye
United States United States
Uruguay Uruguay
Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Group stage

The draw: twelve groups of four.

Group A

Czechia Czechia
Mexico Mexico
South Africa South Africa
South Korea South Korea

Group B

Bosnia-Herzegovina Bosnia-Herzegovina
Canada Canada
Qatar Qatar
Switzerland Switzerland

Group C

Australia Australia
Paraguay Paraguay
Türkiye Türkiye
United States United States

Group D

Brazil Brazil
Haiti Haiti
Morocco Morocco
Scotland Scotland

Group E

Curaçao Curaçao
Ecuador Ecuador
Germany Germany
Ivory Coast Ivory Coast

Group F

Japan Japan
Netherlands Netherlands
Sweden Sweden
Tunisia Tunisia

Group G

Cape Verde Cape Verde
Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia
Spain Spain
Uruguay Uruguay

Group H

Belgium Belgium
Egypt Egypt
Iran Iran
New Zealand New Zealand

Group I

France France
Iraq Iraq
Norway Norway
Senegal Senegal

Group J

Algeria Algeria
Argentina Argentina
Austria Austria
Jordan Jordan

Group K

Colombia Colombia
Congo DR Congo DR
Portugal Portugal
Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Group L

Croatia Croatia
England England
Ghana Ghana
Panama Panama

Who wins it all

Our model's title odds, from 20,000 simulated tournaments. Experimental.

1 Spain 37.63% 99.9% to advance
2 Argentina 21.34% 99.2% to advance
3 England 12.45% 99.1% to advance
4 France 6.8% 96.5% to advance
5 Colombia 3.4% 92.1% to advance
6 Brazil 2.73% 96.1% to advance
7 Netherlands 2.42% 96% to advance
8 Portugal 2.32% 89.7% to advance
9 Morocco 1.91% 94.5% to advance
10 Belgium 1.58% 93% to advance
11 Mexico 1.41% 95.5% to advance
12 Switzerland 0.98% 97.9% to advance

Title odds = chance of winning the tournament. Built from a national-team Elo model (49,000+ international results) plus a Dixon-Coles goals model, simulated 20,000 times through the bracket.

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